YEARLY HIGH
35.7314 UGX
YEARLY LOW
30.5837 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
32.8986 UGX

2015 KES to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the KES to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 7, valuing the pair at 35.7314. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 30.5837.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.1477 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 31.2118 to the December average rate of 32.8871, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.37% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 35.7314 was up 16.02% compared to the 2014 peak of 30.7985, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 178,657 UGX
2014 Average 147,674 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 152,919 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 25,738.40 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

35.8571
30.7895
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 31.7597, compared to 34.0376 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.2780 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 31.7597
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 34.0376

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 3.2066 UGX (High: 35.1650 / Low: 31.9584). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.4547 UGX (High: 31.7008 / Low: 31.2461).

July Spread (Volatile) ±3.2066
February Spread (Stable) ±0.4547

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 1.9331 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -1.9331

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 35.4348) against the same month in 2014 (average: 29.9876), the exchange rate shifted by +5.4472 (+18.16%).

2015 Avg (October) 35.4348
2014 Avg (October) 29.9876

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 31.6632 30.5837 31.2118
February 31.7008 31.2461 31.3842
March 32.9847 31.5029 32.1007
April 32.5615 31.5871 32.0730
May 31.5901 30.7433 31.2122
June 33.4164 31.3526 32.5761
July 35.1650 31.9584 33.0645
August 35.1723 33.4850 34.5666
September 35.1580 34.5284 34.7711
October 35.7314 34.8215 35.4348
November 34.8596 32.8184 33.5017
December 33.7588 32.2110 32.8871