2026 KES to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

29.1776 UGX

YEARLY LOW

26.8154 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

28.5287 UGX

2026 KES to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the KES to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 21, valuing the pair at 29.1776. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 26.8154.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.3622 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 27.6710 to the December average rate of 28.9304, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.55% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 29.1776 was up 1.62% compared to the 2025 peak of 28.7115, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 145,888 UGX

2025 Average 139,299 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 134,077 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,811.05 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

29.2503

27.5129

JanuMarcMayJuly

KES to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 28.4457, compared to 28.7776 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.3319 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 28.4457

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 28.7776

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 1.2715 UGX (High: 28.0869 / Low: 26.8154). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2017 UGX (High: 29.0165 / Low: 28.8148).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.2715

August Spread (Stable) ±0.2017

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.4000 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4000

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2026: 28.8125) against the same month in 2025 (average: 28.3662), the exchange rate shifted by +0.4463 (+1.57%).

2026 Avg (March) 28.8125

2025 Avg (March) 28.3662

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	28.0869	26.8154	27.6710
February	27.9671	27.4017	27.6577
March	29.1776	27.9460	28.8125
April	28.8580	28.5002	28.7219
May	29.1593	28.9378	29.1055
June	29.1357	28.1186	28.7056
July	29.1167	28.2279	28.6248
August	29.0165	28.8148	28.9304