2019 KES to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

37.3630 UGX

YEARLY LOW

35.1008 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

36.3288 UGX

2019 KES to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the KES to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 6, valuing the pair at 37.3630. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 25, dropping to 35.1008.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.2622 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 36.4679 to the December average rate of 36.2264, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.66% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 37.3630 was down 3.71% compared to the 2018 peak of 38.8031, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 186,815 UGX

2018 Average 183,974 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 175,504 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,311.13 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

37.4060

35.2438

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 36.8256, compared to 35.8321 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.9935 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 36.8256

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 35.8321

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was June, with a trading range of 1.2261 UGX (High: 37.2972 / Low: 36.0711). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3053 UGX (High: 37.3630 / Low: 37.0577).

June Spread (Volatile) ±1.2261

May Spread (Stable) ±0.3053

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.8929 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8929

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2019: 37.2258) against the same month in 2018 (average: 37.0335), the exchange rate shifted by +0.1923 (+0.52%).

2019 Avg (May) 37.2258

2018 Avg (May) 37.0335

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	36.7566	36.2928	36.4679
February	36.9824	36.4370	36.6504
March	37.2627	36.6666	36.9158
April	37.2229	36.8165	36.9806
May	37.3630	37.0577	37.2258
June	37.2972	36.0711	36.7130
July	36.2639	35.5297	35.8200
August	35.9024	35.1008	35.7366
September	35.6508	35.3115	35.4240
October	36.0311	35.2929	35.6669
November	36.4579	35.8581	36.1187
December	36.4395	35.9797	36.2264