2018 KES to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

38.8031 UGX

YEARLY LOW

35.1137 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

36.7923 UGX

2018 KES to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the KES to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 38.8031. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 35.1137.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.6894 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 35.3811 to the December average rate of 36.3432, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.72% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 38.8031 was up 9.29% compared to the 2017 peak of 35.5055, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 194,016 UGX

2017 Average 174,873 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 175,568 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 18,447.24 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

38.2569

35.1196

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 36.5299, compared to 37.0548 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.5249 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 36.5299

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 37.0548

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 1.9664 UGX (High: 38.6575 / Low: 36.6910). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3810 UGX (High: 37.3131 / Low: 36.9321).

July Spread (Volatile) ±1.9664

May Spread (Stable) ±0.3810

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.8506 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.8506

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 37.9955) against the same month in 2017 (average: 34.6963), the exchange rate shifted by +3.2992 (+9.51%).

2018 Avg (June) 37.9955

2017 Avg (June) 34.6963

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	35.5525	35.1137	35.3811
February	36.1273	35.6189	35.8896
March	36.6346	35.9449	36.1367
April	37.0506	36.3809	36.7430
May	37.3131	36.9321	37.0335
June	38.8031	37.2080	37.9955
July	38.6575	36.6910	37.3194
August	37.4243	36.6432	37.0516
September	37.9681	37.3868	37.7046
October	37.8490	36.9003	37.3803
November	36.9746	36.1088	36.5297
December	36.5153	36.0352	36.3432