YEARLY HIGH
29.9400 UGX
YEARLY LOW
23.3309 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
28.0004 UGX

2024 KES to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2024

During 2024, the KES to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 8, valuing the pair at 29.9400. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 25, dropping to 23.3309.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 6.6091 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 23.8119 to the December average rate of 28.3316, the exchange rate registered a net change of 18.98% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2024 high of 29.9400 was down 0.84% compared to the 2023 peak of 30.1949, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 149,700 UGX
2023 Average 133,674 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 116,654 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 33,045.38 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2024.

29.6248
23.2834
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 27.4102, compared to 28.5906 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.1803 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 27.4102
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 28.5906

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2024 was February, with a trading range of 3.8122 UGX (High: 27.3053 / Low: 23.4931). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1717 UGX (High: 28.5443 / Low: 28.3725).

February Spread (Volatile) ±3.8122
October Spread (Stable) ±0.1717

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.3268 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3268

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2024: 29.0964) against the same month in 2023 (average: 27.8585), the exchange rate shifted by +1.2379 (+4.44%).

2024 Avg (April) 29.0964
2023 Avg (April) 27.8585

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 24.2665 23.3309 23.8119
February 27.3053 23.4931 25.4658
March 29.4534 26.7486 28.3489
April 29.9400 28.3514 29.0964
May 29.6538 28.0303 28.7945
June 29.2366 28.6085 28.9440
July 29.0988 28.0816 28.7113
August 28.9739 28.5707 28.8063
September 28.9300 28.5974 28.7795
October 28.5443 28.3725 28.4526
November 28.6649 28.2990 28.4621
December 28.4603 28.1629 28.3316