YEARLY HIGH
35.5055 UGX
YEARLY LOW
34.2483 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
34.9719 UGX

2017 KES to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the KES to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 5, valuing the pair at 35.5055. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 20, dropping to 34.2483.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.2573 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 34.8544 to the December average rate of 35.1847, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.95% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 35.5055 was down 0.41% compared to the 2016 peak of 35.6527, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 177,528 UGX
2016 Average 168,327 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 171,241 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,286.36 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

35.2407
34.5685
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 34.9184, compared to 35.0255 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1070 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 34.9184
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 35.0255

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was January, with a trading range of 1.0117 UGX (High: 35.4095 / Low: 34.3978). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3057 UGX (High: 35.3258 / Low: 35.0201).

January Spread (Volatile) ±1.0117
November Spread (Stable) ±0.3057

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.4137 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4137

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2017: 35.0991) against the same month in 2016 (average: 33.1315), the exchange rate shifted by +1.9676 (+5.94%).

2017 Avg (March) 35.0991
2016 Avg (March) 33.1315

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 35.4095 34.3978 34.8544
February 34.9456 34.2889 34.6245
March 35.5055 34.7342 35.0991
April 35.4962 34.8270 35.1263
May 35.3353 34.7727 35.1100
June 35.1280 34.3686 34.6963
July 34.9646 34.2483 34.7405
August 35.1670 34.6240 34.9100
September 35.3316 34.7423 35.0210
October 35.4275 34.9422 35.1739
November 35.3258 35.0201 35.1226
December 35.3031 34.8484 35.1847