2012 KES to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

31.4037 UGX

YEARLY LOW

27.5587 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

29.6447 UGX

2012 KES to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the KES to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 6, valuing the pair at 31.4037. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 30, dropping to 27.5587.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.8450 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 28.0144 to the December average rate of 31.0941, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.99% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 31.4037 was up 3.06% compared to the 2011 peak of 30.4709, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 157,018 UGX

2011 Average 142,275 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 137,793 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 19,225.21 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

31.4021

27.7065

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 29.1545, compared to 30.1350 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.9806 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 29.1545

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 30.1350

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was February, with a trading range of 1.9331 UGX (High: 29.6049 / Low: 27.6718). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2205 UGX (High: 29.4928 / Low: 29.2722).

February Spread (Volatile) ±1.9331

July Spread (Stable) ±0.2205

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.6863 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.6863

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 31.0941) against the same month in 2011 (average: 28.3744), the exchange rate shifted by +2.7197 (+9.58%).

2012 Avg (December) 31.0941

2011 Avg (December) 28.3744

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	29.1772	27.5587	28.0144
February	29.6049	27.6718	28.1163
March	30.7908	29.5709	29.9447
April	30.2749	29.8378	30.1036
May	30.1933	28.6838	29.4173
June	29.7197	28.8714	29.3305
July	29.4928	29.2722	29.4014
August	30.0300	29.4513	29.6498
September	30.0130	29.5265	29.7323
October	30.4861	29.9985	30.3267
November	31.3529	30.1756	30.6058
December	31.4037	30.8400	31.0941