2025 KES to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

28.7115 UGX

YEARLY LOW

26.5121 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

27.8633 UGX

2025 KES to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the KES to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 8, valuing the pair at 28.7115. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 11, dropping to 26.5121.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.1994 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 28.5045 to the December average rate of 27.6932, the exchange rate registered a net change of -2.85% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 28.7115 was down 4.10% compared to the 2024 peak of 29.9400, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 143,557 UGX

2024 Average 140,026 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 132,560 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,997.00 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

28.6727

26.6546

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 28.3087, compared to 27.4179 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.8908 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 28.3087

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 27.4179

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was November, with a trading range of 1.3742 UGX (High: 28.3052 / Low: 26.9310). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1606 UGX (High: 27.8205 / Low: 27.6599).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.3742

July Spread (Stable) ±0.1606

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.4399 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4399

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2025: 28.3357) against the same month in 2024 (average: 29.0964), the exchange rate shifted by -0.7606 (-2.61%).

2025 Avg (April) 28.3357

2024 Avg (April) 29.0964

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	28.6929	28.3774	28.5045
February	28.6195	28.3417	28.4742
March	28.5692	28.2725	28.3662
April	28.7115	28.1900	28.3357
May	28.3839	28.1211	28.2784
June	28.1898	27.7259	27.8934
July	27.8205	27.6599	27.7275
August	27.7464	27.4092	27.5650
September	27.4467	26.8979	27.1252
October	27.0631	26.5121	26.8228
November	28.3052	26.9310	27.5738
December	28.0760	27.3482	27.6932