2013 KES to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

31.4219 UGX

YEARLY LOW

28.9302 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

30.0417 UGX

2013 KES to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the KES to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 31.4219. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 12, dropping to 28.9302.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.4917 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 30.8666 to the December average rate of 29.1107, the exchange rate registered a net change of -5.69% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 31.4219 was up 0.06% compared to the 2012 peak of 31.4037, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 157,110 UGX

2012 Average 148,249 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 144,651 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,458.75 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

31.0422

28.9351

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 30.6154, compared to 29.4680 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 1.1474 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 30.6154

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 29.4680

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was April, with a trading range of 1.0734 UGX (High: 31.1575 / Low: 30.0842). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3403 UGX (High: 29.2705 / Low: 28.9302).

April Spread (Volatile) ±1.0734

December Spread (Stable) ±0.3403

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2013. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.5475 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.5475

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 30.8666) against the same month in 2012 (average: 28.0144), the exchange rate shifted by +2.8522 (+10.18%).

2013 Avg (January) 30.8666

2012 Avg (January) 28.0144

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	31.4219	30.3592	30.8666
February	30.7798	30.1496	30.4161
March	31.0327	30.3301	30.7232
April	31.1575	30.0842	30.5865
May	31.0127	30.4725	30.7544
June	30.5509	30.1436	30.3456
July	30.1702	29.4199	29.7980
August	29.6461	29.2862	29.4798
September	29.6097	29.0897	29.4013
October	29.9366	29.4623	29.7364
November	29.5557	29.0018	29.2819
December	29.2705	28.9302	29.1107