2014 KES to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

30.7985 UGX

YEARLY LOW

28.4177 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

29.5281 UGX

2014 KES to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the KES to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 29, valuing the pair at 30.7985. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 18, dropping to 28.4177.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.3808 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 28.9899 to the December average rate of 30.5787, the exchange rate registered a net change of 5.48% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 30.7985 was down 1.98% compared to the 2013 peak of 31.4219, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 KES based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 153,993 UGX

2013 Average 150,201 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 142,089 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,903.90 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

30.7754

28.4152

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

KES to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 29.0558, compared to 30.0003 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.9444 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 29.0558

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 30.0003

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was November, with a trading range of 0.8584 UGX (High: 30.7985 / Low: 29.9401). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.3081 UGX (High: 29.1015 / Low: 28.7934).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.8584

May Spread (Stable) ±0.3081

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.3780 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3780

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2014: 30.3752) against the same month in 2013 (average: 29.2819), the exchange rate shifted by +1.0933 (+3.73%).

2014 Avg (November) 30.3752

2013 Avg (November) 29.2819

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	29.2234	28.6415	28.9899
February	29.2577	28.4177	28.6119
March	29.6388	28.9948	29.2724
April	29.5785	28.8823	29.1226
May	29.1015	28.7934	28.9370
June	29.8236	29.0423	29.4012
July	30.4059	29.5839	29.9800
August	29.8483	29.2964	29.6101
September	29.7056	29.2673	29.4700
October	30.3634	29.6199	29.9876
November	30.7985	29.9401	30.3752
December	30.7779	30.4086	30.5787