2011 MOP to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

13.2417 KES

YEARLY LOW

10.0700 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

11.0623 KES

2011 MOP to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the MOP to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 11, valuing the pair at 13.2417. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 10.0700.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.1717 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.1042 to the December average rate of 10.7905, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.79% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 13.2417 was up 29.29% compared to the 2010 peak of 10.2421, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 66,209 KES

2010 Average 49,466 KES

Yearly Trough Low 50,350 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 15,858.74 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

12.8337

9.8561

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.4991, compared to 11.6256 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.1264 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.4991

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.6256

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was November, with a trading range of 1.1413 KES (High: 12.2592 / Low: 11.1179). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0742 KES (High: 10.1441 / Low: 10.0700).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.1413

January Spread (Stable) ±0.0742

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and October, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 0.9694 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.9694

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 12.5856) against the same month in 2010 (average: 10.0799), the exchange rate shifted by +2.5057 (+24.86%).

2011 Avg (October) 12.5856

2010 Avg (October) 10.0799

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.1441	10.0700	10.1042
February	10.2739	10.0966	10.1670
March	10.7246	10.3203	10.5106
April	10.5231	10.3923	10.4673
May	10.8375	10.4100	10.6516
June	11.4036	10.7183	11.0940
July	11.3531	11.0521	11.2050
August	11.8033	11.3558	11.5656
September	12.8057	11.6700	11.9904
October	13.2417	12.3679	12.5856
November	12.2592	11.1179	11.6162
December	11.2336	10.4163	10.7905