2018 MOP to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

12.8788 KES

YEARLY LOW

12.3604 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

12.5482 KES

2018 MOP to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MOP to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 3, valuing the pair at 12.8788. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 23, dropping to 12.3604.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5184 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.7755 to the December average rate of 12.6815, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.74% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 12.8788 was down 1.60% compared to the 2017 peak of 13.0881, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 64,394 KES

2017 Average 64,431 KES

Yearly Trough Low 61,802 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,591.91 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

12.8084

12.4132

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.5465, compared to 12.5500 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0035 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.5465

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.5500

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was November, with a trading range of 0.2517 KES (High: 12.8289 / Low: 12.5772). On the other end, June was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0838 KES (High: 12.5426 / Low: 12.4588).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.2517

June Spread (Stable) ±0.0838

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1909 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1909

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2018: 12.7755) against the same month in 2017 (average: 12.9874), the exchange rate shifted by -0.2119 (-1.63%).

2018 Avg (January) 12.7755

2017 Avg (January) 12.9874

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	12.8788	12.6945	12.7755
February	12.6526	12.5018	12.5846
March	12.5777	12.4602	12.5275
April	12.5536	12.3604	12.4461
May	12.5742	12.3825	12.4487
June	12.5426	12.4588	12.4964
July	12.5124	12.3735	12.4529
August	12.5079	12.4147	12.4572
September	12.5545	12.4415	12.4904
October	12.6064	12.4804	12.5244
November	12.8289	12.5772	12.6934
December	12.7563	12.5585	12.6815