2015 MOP to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

13.2823 KES

YEARLY LOW

11.3191 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

12.2992 KES

2015 MOP to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the MOP to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 7, valuing the pair at 13.2823. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 11.3191.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.9632 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 11.4286 to the December average rate of 12.8246, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.22% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 13.2823 was up 16.78% compared to the 2014 peak of 11.3737, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 66,411 KES

2014 Average 55,047 KES

Yearly Trough Low 56,596 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,815.91 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

13.3731

11.2518

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.7283, compared to 12.8701 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.1418 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.7283

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.8701

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was May, with a trading range of 0.4348 KES (High: 12.2845 / Low: 11.8497). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0781 KES (High: 12.8429 / Low: 12.7648).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.4348

November Spread (Stable) ±0.0781

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.3299 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3299

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2015: 13.1963) against the same month in 2014 (average: 11.1182), the exchange rate shifted by +2.0781 (+18.69%).

2015 Avg (September) 13.1963

2014 Avg (September) 11.1182

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	11.5164	11.3191	11.4286
February	11.5078	11.4033	11.4502
March	11.5945	11.3214	11.4667
April	11.8850	11.5674	11.7162
May	12.2845	11.8497	12.0542
June	12.4121	12.0712	12.2538
July	12.8496	12.4346	12.6955
August	13.0552	12.6445	12.8442
September	13.2823	13.0189	13.1963
October	13.0797	12.7165	12.8665
November	12.8429	12.7648	12.7933
December	12.9662	12.7622	12.8246