YEARLY HIGH
19.5114 KES
YEARLY LOW
15.3407 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
17.3473 KES

2023 MOP to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the MOP to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 19.5114. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 15.3407.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.1707 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 15.3895 to the December average rate of 19.1794, the exchange rate registered a net change of 24.63% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 19.5114 was up 26.83% compared to the 2022 peak of 15.3839, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 97,557 KES
2022 Average 73,118 KES
Yearly Trough Low 76,703 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 20,853.60 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

19.5584
15.0105
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 16.3205, compared to 18.3741 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.0536 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 16.3205
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 18.3741

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was March, with a trading range of 0.6464 KES (High: 16.3990 / Low: 15.7526). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0907 KES (High: 15.4314 / Low: 15.3407).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.6464
January Spread (Stable) ±0.0907

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 11 straight months. No significant month-over-month rate declines were detected.

Longest Streak 11 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0000

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2023: 19.1794) against the same month in 2022 (average: 15.3374), the exchange rate shifted by +3.8420 (+25.05%).

2023 Avg (December) 19.1794
2022 Avg (December) 15.3374

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 15.4314 15.3407 15.3895
February 15.7245 15.4183 15.5438
March 16.3990 15.7526 16.0499
April 17.0440 16.3990 16.6352
May 17.1887 16.7511 17.0009
June 17.5232 17.0313 17.3037
July 17.7964 17.2456 17.5819
August 17.9833 17.6624 17.8361
September 18.3712 17.9571 18.2024
October 18.7073 18.3120 18.5292
November 19.1159 18.6742 18.9153
December 19.5114 18.9237 19.1794