2019 MOP to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

12.9970 KES

YEARLY LOW

12.3220 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

12.6388 KES

2019 MOP to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MOP to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 25, valuing the pair at 12.9970. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 11, dropping to 12.3220.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6750 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.5768 to the December average rate of 12.6219, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.36% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 12.9970 was up 0.92% compared to the 2018 peak of 12.8788, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 64,985 KES

2018 Average 62,741 KES

Yearly Trough Low 61,610 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,375.08 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

12.9024

12.3517

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.5055, compared to 12.7721 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2666 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.5055

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.7721

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 0.2513 KES (High: 12.6726 / Low: 12.4213). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0631 KES (High: 12.5492 / Low: 12.4861).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.2513

May Spread (Stable) ±0.0631

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1792 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1792

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2019: 12.7971) against the same month in 2018 (average: 12.4572), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3399 (+2.73%).

2019 Avg (August) 12.7971

2018 Avg (August) 12.4572

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	12.6726	12.4213	12.5768
February	12.4613	12.3720	12.3976
March	12.4981	12.3220	12.4174
April	12.5832	12.4351	12.5099
May	12.5492	12.4861	12.5189
June	12.7136	12.4981	12.6123
July	12.9333	12.7141	12.8250
August	12.9970	12.7519	12.7971
September	12.8897	12.7611	12.8566
October	12.9100	12.7749	12.8384
November	12.7979	12.5492	12.6935
December	12.7568	12.5408	12.6219