2026 MOP to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

16.1513 KES

YEARLY LOW

15.9664 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

16.0379 KES

2026 MOP to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MOP to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 6, valuing the pair at 16.1513. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 19, dropping to 15.9664.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.1848 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 16.0629 to the December average rate of 16.0346, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.18% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 16.1513 was down 0.59% compared to the 2025 peak of 16.2471, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 80,756 KES

2025 Average 80,513 KES

Yearly Trough Low 79,832 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 924.13 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

16.0676

16.0116

JanuMarcMayJuly

MOP to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 16.0420, compared to 16.0254 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0166 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 16.0420

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 16.0254

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was April, with a trading range of 0.1848 KES (High: 16.1513 / Low: 15.9664). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0345 KES (High: 16.0534 / Low: 16.0189).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.1848

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0345

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2026. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.0440 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0440

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2026: 16.0432) against the same month in 2025 (average: 16.1888), the exchange rate shifted by -0.1456 (-0.90%).

2026 Avg (April) 16.0432

2025 Avg (April) 16.1888

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	16.0962	16.0392	16.0629
February	16.0393	15.9776	16.0189
March	16.1216	15.9926	16.0602
April	16.1513	15.9664	16.0432
May	16.0540	16.0020	16.0351
June	16.0567	15.9926	16.0320
July	16.0762	15.9836	16.0163
August	16.0534	16.0189	16.0346