2014 MOP to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

11.3737 KES

YEARLY LOW

10.7135 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

11.0082 KES

2014 MOP to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MOP to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 11, valuing the pair at 11.3737. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 23, dropping to 10.7135.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6602 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.7937 to the December average rate of 11.3168, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.85% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 11.3737 was up 3.30% compared to the 2013 peak of 11.0105, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 56,868 KES

2013 Average 53,896 KES

Yearly Trough Low 53,568 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,300.79 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

11.3692

10.7414

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.8669, compared to 11.1495 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2826 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.8669

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 11.1495

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was January, with a trading range of 0.1736 KES (High: 10.8872 / Low: 10.7135). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0430 KES (High: 11.0096 / Low: 10.9666).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1736

July Spread (Stable) ±0.0430

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 11 straight months. No significant month-over-month rate declines were detected.

Longest Streak 11 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0000

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 11.3168) against the same month in 2013 (average: 10.8064), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5104 (+4.72%).

2014 Avg (December) 11.3168

2013 Avg (December) 10.8064

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.8872	10.7135	10.7937
February	10.8231	10.7741	10.7996
March	10.8660	10.8005	10.8251
April	10.8963	10.8169	10.8595
May	11.0058	10.8733	10.9477
June	11.0280	10.9470	10.9756
July	11.0096	10.9666	10.9923
August	11.0767	10.9966	11.0379
September	11.1684	11.0294	11.1182
October	11.2295	11.1136	11.1641
November	11.3019	11.1996	11.2674
December	11.3737	11.2609	11.3168