YEARLY HIGH
16.2471 KES
YEARLY LOW
15.9697 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
16.1029 KES

2025 MOP to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the MOP to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 21, valuing the pair at 16.2471. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 2, dropping to 15.9697.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2774 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 16.1353 to the December average rate of 16.1024, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.20% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 16.2471 was down 19.96% compared to the 2024 peak of 20.2989, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 81,236 KES
2024 Average 83,813 KES
Yearly Trough Low 79,849 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,387.03 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

16.2080
15.9780
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 16.1126, compared to 16.0932 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.0193 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 16.1126
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 16.0932

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was February, with a trading range of 0.1944 KES (High: 16.2200 / Low: 16.0256). On the other end, October was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0565 KES (High: 16.1674 / Low: 16.1110).

February Spread (Volatile) ±0.1944
October Spread (Stable) ±0.0565

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.1067 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1067

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2025: 16.1888) against the same month in 2024 (average: 16.2854), the exchange rate shifted by -0.0965 (-0.59%).

2025 Avg (April) 16.1888
2024 Avg (April) 16.2854

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 16.2207 16.0728 16.1353
February 16.2200 16.0256 16.1178
March 16.2191 16.0461 16.1488
April 16.2471 16.1184 16.1888
May 16.1616 15.9917 16.0821
June 16.0273 15.9700 16.0025
July 16.0312 15.9697 15.9971
August 16.1369 15.9740 16.0371
September 16.2176 16.0778 16.1331
October 16.1674 16.1110 16.1349
November 16.2081 16.0795 16.1547
December 16.1459 16.0707 16.1024