2016 MOP to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

12.8374 KES

YEARLY LOW

12.5595 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

12.6955 KES

2016 MOP to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MOP to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 4, valuing the pair at 12.8374. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 7, dropping to 12.5595.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.2779 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.7688 to the December average rate of 12.7822, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.11% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 12.8374 was down 3.35% compared to the 2015 peak of 13.2823, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 64,187 KES

2015 Average 61,520 KES

Yearly Trough Low 62,798 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 1,389.30 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

12.8006

12.5799

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 12.6853, compared to 12.7056 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0203 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 12.6853

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.7056

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was January, with a trading range of 0.1276 KES (High: 12.8374 / Low: 12.7098). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0428 KES (High: 12.7050 / Low: 12.6622).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.1276

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0428

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.0760 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0760

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2016: 12.7688) against the same month in 2015 (average: 11.4286), the exchange rate shifted by +1.3402 (+11.73%).

2016 Avg (January) 12.7688

2015 Avg (January) 11.4286

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	12.8374	12.7098	12.7688
February	12.7886	12.6853	12.7211
March	12.7334	12.6470	12.6987
April	12.7089	12.6485	12.6743
May	12.6620	12.5595	12.5983
June	12.6825	12.5899	12.6508
July	12.7137	12.6312	12.6770
August	12.7050	12.6622	12.6906
September	12.6927	12.6444	12.6700
October	12.7367	12.6613	12.6829
November	12.7612	12.6812	12.7309
December	12.8316	12.7156	12.7822