YEARLY HIGH
15.3839 KES
YEARLY LOW
14.0825 KES
YEARLY AVERAGE
14.6207 KES

2022 MOP to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the MOP to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 30, valuing the pair at 15.3839. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 14.0825.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3014 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14.1303 to the December average rate of 15.3374, the exchange rate registered a net change of 8.54% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 15.3839 was up 9.20% compared to the 2021 peak of 14.0883, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 76,919 KES
2021 Average 68,490 KES
Yearly Trough Low 70,412 KES
Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,506.97 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

15.4581
14.0096
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 14.2776, compared to 14.9638 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.6862 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 14.2776
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 14.9638

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was October, with a trading range of 0.2995 KES (High: 15.1609 / Low: 14.8615). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0609 KES (High: 14.1902 / Low: 14.1294).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.2995
February Spread (Stable) ±0.0609

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 11 straight months. No significant month-over-month rate declines were detected.

Longest Streak 11 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0000

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2022: 15.3374) against the same month in 2021 (average: 14.0630), the exchange rate shifted by +1.2744 (+9.06%).

2022 Avg (December) 15.3374
2021 Avg (December) 14.0630

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 14.1720 14.0825 14.1303
February 14.1902 14.1294 14.1555
March 14.2653 14.1412 14.2017
April 14.3329 14.1820 14.2851
May 14.4587 14.3217 14.3869
June 14.5890 14.3683 14.5058
July 14.6999 14.5871 14.6429
August 14.8762 14.6546 14.7849
September 15.0878 14.8103 14.9083
October 15.1609 14.8615 14.9768
November 15.2532 15.0230 15.1324
December 15.3839 15.2711 15.3374