2020 MOP to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

13.9740 KES

YEARLY LOW

12.5434 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

13.3287 KES

2020 MOP to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the MOP to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 16, valuing the pair at 13.9740. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 1, dropping to 12.5434.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.4306 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 12.6257 to the December average rate of 13.8382, the exchange rate registered a net change of 9.60% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 13.9740 was up 7.52% compared to the 2019 peak of 12.9970, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 69,870 KES

2019 Average 63,202 KES

Yearly Trough Low 62,717 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,152.93 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

13.9628

12.4674

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.0391, compared to 13.6184 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.5793 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.0391

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 13.6184

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 0.8004 KES (High: 13.4108 / Low: 12.6105). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0387 KES (High: 13.6051 / Low: 13.5664).

March Spread (Volatile) ±0.8004

September Spread (Stable) ±0.0387

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between June and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.0392 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.0392

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2020: 13.8382) against the same month in 2019 (average: 12.6219), the exchange rate shifted by +1.2162 (+9.64%).

2020 Avg (December) 13.8382

2019 Avg (December) 12.6219

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	12.7067	12.5434	12.6257
February	12.6452	12.5434	12.5920
March	13.4108	12.6105	12.9833
April	13.4456	13.1723	13.3371
May	13.5277	13.2249	13.3678
June	13.3817	13.2891	13.3286
July	13.5282	13.3251	13.4430
August	13.6216	13.4894	13.5427
September	13.6051	13.5664	13.5841
October	13.6373	13.5876	13.6109
November	13.7872	13.6168	13.6915
December	13.9740	13.6118	13.8382