2013 MOP to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

11.0105 KES

YEARLY LOW

10.4205 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.7801 KES

2013 MOP to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the MOP to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 18, valuing the pair at 11.0105. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on May 9, dropping to 10.4205.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.5900 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.8934 to the December average rate of 10.8064, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.80% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 11.0105 was up 0.59% compared to the 2012 peak of 10.9456, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 55,052 KES

2012 Average 52,879 KES

Yearly Trough Low 52,102 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 2,950.00 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

10.9982

10.4688

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.7187, compared to 10.8415 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1228 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.7187

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.8415

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was October, with a trading range of 0.2687 KES (High: 10.8890 / Low: 10.6204). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0631 KES (High: 10.9790 / Low: 10.9159).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.2687

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0631

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 0.2700 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2700

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2013: 10.9450) against the same month in 2012 (average: 10.6054), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3396 (+3.20%).

2013 Avg (September) 10.9450

2012 Avg (September) 10.6054

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.9904	10.7739	10.8934
February	10.9807	10.7745	10.9372
March	10.8402	10.6619	10.7294
April	10.6941	10.4586	10.5422
May	10.6413	10.4205	10.5129
June	10.7744	10.6083	10.6973
July	10.9813	10.7339	10.8782
August	10.9790	10.9159	10.9541
September	11.0105	10.8395	10.9450
October	10.8890	10.6204	10.6750
November	10.8981	10.6868	10.7906
December	10.8817	10.7262	10.8064