2012 MOP to KES Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

10.9456 KES

YEARLY LOW

10.2633 KES

YEARLY AVERAGE

10.5749 KES

2012 MOP to KES Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the MOP to KES exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 10.9456. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 14, dropping to 10.2633.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6823 KES. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.7684 to the December average rate of 10.7716, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.03% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 10.9456 was down 17.34% compared to the 2011 peak of 13.2417, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MOP based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 54,728 KES

2011 Average 55,336 KES

Yearly Trough Low 51,316 KES

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,411.54 KES purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

10.8122

10.3252

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MOP to KES Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 10.5118, compared to 10.6379 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.1261 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 10.5118

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 10.6379

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was May, with a trading range of 0.4597 KES (High: 10.8474 / Low: 10.3876). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0392 KES (High: 10.4203 / Low: 10.3812).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.4597

April Spread (Stable) ±0.0392

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.3707 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3707

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2012: 10.7684) against the same month in 2011 (average: 10.1042), the exchange rate shifted by +0.6642 (+6.57%).

2012 Avg (January) 10.7684

2011 Avg (January) 10.1042

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	10.9456	10.4983	10.7684
February	10.4844	10.3351	10.3977
March	10.4103	10.2633	10.3657
April	10.4203	10.3812	10.3967
May	10.8474	10.3876	10.5366
June	10.7854	10.4064	10.6057
July	10.5880	10.4864	10.5347
August	10.5981	10.4829	10.5270
September	10.7112	10.5299	10.6054
October	10.6892	10.6337	10.6638
November	10.7935	10.6778	10.7251
December	10.8184	10.7258	10.7716