2010 DJF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

13.1245 UGX

YEARLY LOW

10.7190 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

12.2600 UGX

2010 DJF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2010

During 2010, the DJF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 29, valuing the pair at 13.1245. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 3, dropping to 10.7190.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.4055 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 10.8849 to the December average rate of 12.9667, the exchange rate registered a net change of 19.13% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 65,622 UGX

Yearly Average 61,300 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 53,595 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 12,027.25 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2010.

13.1749

10.6768

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 11.7612, compared to 12.7588 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.9976 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 11.7612

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 12.7588

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2010 was May, with a trading range of 0.7973 UGX (High: 12.6746 / Low: 11.8773). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1632 UGX (High: 12.7503 / Low: 12.5872).

May Spread (Volatile) ±0.7973

September Spread (Stable) ±0.1632

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between July and August, when the average rate fell by 0.1554 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1554

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Historical data for the previous year (2009) is currently unavailable. Strongest month average for December 2010 is 12.9667.

2010 Avg (December) 12.9667

Baseline Avg N/A

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	11.0426	10.7190	10.8849
February	11.5064	10.9469	11.2537
March	12.0132	11.4671	11.6983
April	11.9613	11.6641	11.7347
May	12.6746	11.8773	12.2754
June	12.8896	12.5279	12.7204
July	12.8414	12.5618	12.7054
August	12.8019	12.3787	12.5499
September	12.7503	12.5872	12.6783
October	12.8966	12.6406	12.7514
November	13.0119	12.8347	12.9013
December	13.1245	12.8966	12.9667