2021 DJF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

20.8666 UGX

YEARLY LOW

19.7610 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

20.1495 UGX

2021 DJF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the DJF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 20.8666. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on June 10, dropping to 19.7610.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.1056 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 20.7173 to the December average rate of 19.9668, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.62% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 20.8666 was down 5.23% compared to the 2020 peak of 22.0181, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 104,333 UGX

2020 Average 104,391 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 98,805 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 5,528.07 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

20.8063

19.7387

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 20.3516, compared to 19.9473 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4043 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 20.3516

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 19.9473

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 0.5075 UGX (High: 20.3847 / Low: 19.8772). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0663 UGX (High: 20.6030 / Low: 20.5367).

October Spread (Volatile) ±0.5075

March Spread (Stable) ±0.0663

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 0.4187 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4187

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 20.7173) against the same month in 2020 (average: 20.6629), the exchange rate shifted by +0.0544 (+0.26%).

2021 Avg (January) 20.7173

2020 Avg (January) 20.6629

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	20.8666	20.4316	20.7173
February	20.6714	20.5592	20.5966
March	20.6030	20.5367	20.5714
April	20.5765	20.0893	20.3785
May	20.1293	19.8452	19.9598
June	19.9735	19.7610	19.8861
July	20.0562	19.8823	19.9552
August	19.9580	19.8288	19.8710
September	19.9983	19.7724	19.8276
October	20.3847	19.8772	20.0975
November	20.1094	19.8245	19.9658
December	20.0629	19.8324	19.9668