2019 DJF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

24.9793 UGX

YEARLY LOW

20.3576 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

20.8195 UGX

2019 DJF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the DJF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 22, valuing the pair at 24.9793. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on August 25, dropping to 20.3576.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 4.6217 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 20.9439 to the December average rate of 20.6421, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.44% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 24.9793 was up 13.74% compared to the 2018 peak of 21.9626, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 124,896 UGX

2018 Average 104,772 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 101,788 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 23,108.73 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

21.2104

20.5813

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 20.9195, compared to 20.7196 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.1999 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 20.9195

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 20.7196

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 4.4371 UGX (High: 24.9793 / Low: 20.5422). On the other end, March was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1318 UGX (High: 20.8750 / Low: 20.7433).

January Spread (Volatile) ±4.4371

March Spread (Stable) ±0.1318

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.3101 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3101

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 20.9439) against the same month in 2018 (average: 20.3673), the exchange rate shifted by +0.5766 (+2.83%).

2019 Avg (January) 20.9439

2018 Avg (January) 20.3673

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	24.9793	20.5422	20.9439
February	20.8078	20.5802	20.6337
March	20.8750	20.7433	20.8132
April	21.1135	20.8600	21.0006
May	21.2363	21.0321	21.1579
June	21.1864	20.6477	20.9674
July	20.9169	20.7130	20.7658
August	20.8023	20.3576	20.7311
September	20.7388	20.4678	20.6454
October	20.9484	20.5992	20.7716
November	20.8426	20.6883	20.7615
December	20.8145	20.5550	20.6421