2018 DJF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

21.9626 UGX

YEARLY LOW

20.2796 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

20.9534 UGX

2018 DJF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the DJF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on June 21, valuing the pair at 21.9626. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 16, dropping to 20.2796.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6830 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 20.3673 to the December average rate of 20.8624, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.43% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 21.9626 was up 7.14% compared to the 2017 peak of 20.4998, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 109,813 UGX

2017 Average 101,134 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 101,398 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,415.07 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

21.6804

20.2479

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 20.8247, compared to 21.0821 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.2574 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 20.8247

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 21.0821

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 1.2216 UGX (High: 21.9119 / Low: 20.6903). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1697 UGX (High: 21.0062 / Low: 20.8365).

July Spread (Volatile) ±1.2216

April Spread (Stable) ±0.1697

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 0.4531 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4531

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (June 2018: 21.5610) against the same month in 2017 (average: 20.0774), the exchange rate shifted by +1.4837 (+7.39%).

2018 Avg (June) 21.5610

2017 Avg (June) 20.0774

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	20.4730	20.2796	20.3673
February	20.6861	20.3261	20.4963
March	20.8584	20.5603	20.6455
April	21.0062	20.8365	20.8974
May	21.2015	20.8512	20.9807
June	21.9626	21.1947	21.5610
July	21.9119	20.6903	21.1079
August	21.1745	20.6976	20.9525
September	21.4886	21.1407	21.3515
October	21.4807	21.0422	21.2243
November	21.1102	20.8245	20.9938
December	21.0099	20.7394	20.8624