YEARLY HIGH
20.8705 UGX
YEARLY LOW
19.2507 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
20.2517 UGX

2025 DJF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the DJF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on April 7, valuing the pair at 20.8705. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on October 12, dropping to 19.2507.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.6198 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 20.7390 to the December average rate of 20.0963, the exchange rate registered a net change of -3.10% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 20.8705 was down 6.07% compared to the 2024 peak of 22.2204, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 104,353 UGX
2024 Average 105,621 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 96,254 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,099.03 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

20.8650
19.3532
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 20.5784, compared to 19.9250 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.6533 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 20.5784
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 19.9250

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was November, with a trading range of 1.0286 UGX (High: 20.5786 / Low: 19.5500). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0957 UGX (High: 20.2141 / Low: 20.1184).

November Spread (Volatile) ±1.0286
July Spread (Stable) ±0.0957

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between October and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 0.3141 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3141

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (April 2025: 20.6139) against the same month in 2024 (average: 21.4827), the exchange rate shifted by -0.8689 (-4.04%).

2025 Avg (April) 20.6139
2024 Avg (April) 21.4827

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 20.8582 20.6359 20.7390
February 20.7484 20.6189 20.6809
March 20.7006 20.3638 20.6189
April 20.8705 20.4632 20.6139
May 20.5668 20.4313 20.5275
June 20.4693 20.1562 20.2900
July 20.2141 20.1184 20.1623
August 20.2246 19.9241 20.0364
September 19.9319 19.6179 19.7224
October 19.6429 19.2507 19.4792
November 20.5786 19.5500 20.0536
December 20.3741 19.8659 20.0963