2012 DJF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

15.1826 UGX

YEARLY LOW

12.9339 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

14.0487 UGX

2012 DJF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the DJF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 8, valuing the pair at 15.1826. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 7, dropping to 12.9339.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.2488 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.5267 to the December average rate of 15.0375, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.17% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 15.1826 was down 6.48% compared to the 2011 peak of 16.2338, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 75,913 UGX

2011 Average 71,014 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 64,669 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 11,243.77 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

15.2323

12.8950

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.7075, compared to 14.3899 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.6825 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.7075

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 14.3899

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was January, with a trading range of 0.9055 UGX (High: 13.9142 / Low: 13.0087). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1181 UGX (High: 13.9659 / Low: 13.8478).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.9055

July Spread (Stable) ±0.1181

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between May and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.4369 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.4369

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 15.0375) against the same month in 2011 (average: 13.7587), the exchange rate shifted by +1.2788 (+9.29%).

2012 Avg (December) 15.0375

2011 Avg (December) 13.7587

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	13.9142	13.0087	13.5267
February	13.7122	12.9339	13.0898
March	14.3775	13.6968	13.8907
April	14.1068	13.8089	13.9899
May	13.9942	13.7124	13.8518
June	13.9921	13.7874	13.8958
July	13.9659	13.8478	13.9115
August	14.1492	13.9199	14.0070
September	14.3606	13.9477	14.1362
October	14.6508	14.3496	14.5162
November	15.1261	14.5035	14.7312
December	15.1826	14.8913	15.0375