2017 DJF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

20.4998 UGX

YEARLY LOW

19.8950 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

20.2255 UGX

2017 DJF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the DJF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on November 3, valuing the pair at 20.4998. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on July 20, dropping to 19.8950.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 0.6048 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 20.2322 to the December average rate of 20.2924, the exchange rate registered a net change of 0.30% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 20.4998 was up 0.60% compared to the 2016 peak of 20.3765, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 102,499 UGX

2016 Average 96,163 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 99,475 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 3,024.25 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

20.3730

20.0234

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 20.1827, compared to 20.2682 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.0855 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 20.1827

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 20.2682

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was January, with a trading range of 0.4567 UGX (High: 20.4360 / Low: 19.9793). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2622 UGX (High: 20.3569 / Low: 20.0947).

January Spread (Volatile) ±0.4567

December Spread (Stable) ±0.2622

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.1839 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1839

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (November 2017: 20.3378) against the same month in 2016 (average: 20.0005), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3373 (+1.69%).

2017 Avg (November) 20.3378

2016 Avg (November) 20.0005

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	20.4360	19.9793	20.2322
February	20.2271	19.9240	20.0525
March	20.3477	19.9673	20.1681
April	20.4967	20.1407	20.3047
May	20.3923	20.0850	20.2613
June	20.2525	19.9597	20.0774
July	20.3230	19.8950	20.1831
August	20.3653	20.0431	20.2443
September	20.3705	20.0842	20.2079
October	20.4777	20.1539	20.3439
November	20.4998	20.2330	20.3378
December	20.3569	20.0947	20.2924