2015 DJF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

20.8063 UGX

YEARLY LOW

15.5183 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

18.2212 UGX

2015 DJF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the DJF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 2, valuing the pair at 20.8063. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 4, dropping to 15.5183.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 5.2879 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 16.0304 to the December average rate of 18.9181, the exchange rate registered a net change of 18.01% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 20.8063 was up 33.46% compared to the 2014 peak of 15.5902, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 104,031 UGX

2014 Average 72,785 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 77,592 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 26,439.63 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

21.1030

15.5692

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 16.7506, compared to 19.6917 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 2.9411 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 16.7506

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 19.6917

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was July, with a trading range of 1.5123 UGX (High: 19.9003 / Low: 18.3880). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1881 UGX (High: 16.9377 / Low: 16.7496).

July Spread (Volatile) ±1.5123

April Spread (Stable) ±0.1881

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 8 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 1.2286 points.

Longest Streak 8 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.2286

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 20.5044) against the same month in 2014 (average: 14.9853), the exchange rate shifted by +5.5191 (+36.83%).

2015 Avg (October) 20.5044

2014 Avg (October) 14.9853

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	16.3473	15.5183	16.0304
February	16.2434	16.0045	16.1193
March	17.0023	16.2815	16.5668
April	16.9377	16.7496	16.8651
May	17.2481	16.8132	16.9526
June	18.5989	17.2881	17.9696
July	19.9003	18.3880	18.8704
August	20.5559	19.2704	19.9399
September	20.7574	20.5452	20.6419
October	20.8063	19.9129	20.5044
November	20.0049	18.8706	19.2758
December	19.4117	18.5373	18.9181