YEARLY HIGH
21.8112 UGX
YEARLY LOW
19.6336 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
20.7234 UGX

2022 DJF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2022

During 2022, the DJF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 7, valuing the pair at 21.8112. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 3, dropping to 19.6336.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 2.1776 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 19.8422 to the December average rate of 20.7305, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.48% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2022 high of 21.8112 was up 4.53% compared to the 2021 peak of 20.8666, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 109,056 UGX
2021 Average 100,736 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 98,168 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 10,887.99 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2022.

21.6908
19.5853
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 20.1738, compared to 21.2730 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.0992 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 20.1738
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 21.2730

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2022 was May, with a trading range of 1.4720 UGX (High: 21.2194 / Low: 19.7474). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.2977 UGX (High: 19.9313 / Low: 19.6336).

May Spread (Volatile) ±1.4720
February Spread (Stable) ±0.2977

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between November and December, when the average rate fell by 0.3974 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3974

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2022: 21.5153) against the same month in 2021 (average: 19.8710), the exchange rate shifted by +1.6444 (+8.28%).

2022 Avg (August) 21.5153
2021 Avg (August) 19.8710

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 20.0125 19.7000 19.8422
February 19.9313 19.6336 19.7607
March 20.3485 19.8281 20.1689
April 20.0928 19.6693 19.8756
May 21.2194 19.7474 20.3680
June 21.3573 20.6999 21.0273
July 21.7912 20.8677 21.3129
August 21.8112 21.0980 21.5153
September 21.7716 21.2583 21.4601
October 21.7066 21.3444 21.4912
November 21.3293 20.9664 21.1280
December 21.0086 20.4423 20.7305