2016 DJF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

20.3765 UGX

YEARLY LOW

18.6093 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

19.2326 UGX

2016 DJF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the DJF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 2, valuing the pair at 20.3765. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 24, dropping to 18.6093.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.7672 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 19.3914 to the December average rate of 20.1766, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.05% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 20.3765 was down 2.07% compared to the 2015 peak of 20.8063, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 101,883 UGX

2015 Average 91,167 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 93,047 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 8,836.14 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

20.3133

18.6728

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 19.0298, compared to 19.4354 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.4056 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 19.0298

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 19.4354

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was November, with a trading range of 0.8926 UGX (High: 20.3579 / Low: 19.4653). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1369 UGX (High: 19.1041 / Low: 18.9673).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.8926

August Spread (Stable) ±0.1369

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 0.3755 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3755

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 20.1766) against the same month in 2015 (average: 18.9181), the exchange rate shifted by +1.2585 (+6.65%).

2016 Avg (December) 20.1766

2015 Avg (December) 18.9181

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	19.5995	19.0102	19.3914
February	19.5749	18.8827	19.2948
March	19.0088	18.8001	18.9193
April	18.9706	18.6093	18.8095
May	19.0525	18.6665	18.8297
June	19.1986	18.8170	18.9339
July	19.1708	18.9694	19.0580
August	19.1041	18.9673	19.0118
September	19.1330	18.9805	19.0562
October	19.5366	19.0102	19.3093
November	20.3579	19.4653	20.0005
December	20.3765	19.8514	20.1766