2020 DJF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

22.0181 UGX

YEARLY LOW

20.4744 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

20.8779 UGX

2020 DJF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2020

During 2020, the DJF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on March 24, valuing the pair at 22.0181. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 28, dropping to 20.4744.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.5436 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 20.6629 to the December average rate of 20.5874, the exchange rate registered a net change of -0.37% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2020 high of 22.0181 was down 11.85% compared to the 2019 peak of 24.9793, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 110,090 UGX

2019 Average 104,104 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 102,372 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 7,718.13 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2020.

21.3601

20.5171

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 20.9993, compared to 20.7565 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.2428 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 20.9993

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 20.7565

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2020 was March, with a trading range of 1.2277 UGX (High: 22.0181 / Low: 20.7904). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1137 UGX (High: 20.7225 / Low: 20.6088).

March Spread (Volatile) ±1.2277

August Spread (Stable) ±0.1137

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 0.2999 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.2999

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (March 2020: 21.1571) against the same month in 2019 (average: 20.8132), the exchange rate shifted by +0.3439 (+1.65%).

2020 Avg (March) 21.1571

2019 Avg (March) 20.8132

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	20.8453	20.5793	20.6629
February	20.8366	20.5811	20.6534
March	22.0181	20.7904	21.1571
April	21.3808	21.0815	21.2427
May	21.3573	21.2032	21.2898
June	21.2279	20.8963	20.9899
July	20.9247	20.7036	20.8035
August	20.7225	20.6088	20.6565
September	20.8935	20.6659	20.7648
October	21.0205	20.7382	20.8852
November	21.0093	20.7306	20.8415
December	20.7842	20.4744	20.5874