2011 DJF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

16.2338 UGX

YEARLY LOW

12.8657 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

14.1966 UGX

2011 DJF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the DJF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 12, valuing the pair at 16.2338. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 30, dropping to 12.8657.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 3.3682 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 13.1062 to the December average rate of 13.7587, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.98% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 16.2338 was up 23.69% compared to the 2010 peak of 13.1245, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 81,169 UGX

2010 Average 61,328 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 64,328 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 16,840.89 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

16.1168

12.8325

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 13.4007, compared to 14.9925 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.5918 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 13.4007

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 14.9925

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was October, with a trading range of 1.7040 UGX (High: 16.2338 / Low: 14.5299). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1155 UGX (High: 13.5043 / Low: 13.3888).

October Spread (Volatile) ±1.7040

May Spread (Stable) ±0.1155

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 1.2478 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -1.2478

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2011: 15.7636) against the same month in 2010 (average: 12.7514), the exchange rate shifted by +3.0122 (+23.62%).

2011 Avg (October) 15.7636

2010 Avg (October) 12.7514

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	13.4621	12.8657	13.1062
February	13.4143	12.9838	13.2087
March	13.6590	13.3271	13.4930
April	13.4266	13.1111	13.3480
May	13.5043	13.3888	13.4470
June	15.0597	13.4357	13.8011
July	14.7085	14.2932	14.5684
August	15.9110	14.7029	15.5051
September	16.1857	15.6413	15.8431
October	16.2338	14.5299	15.7636
November	14.8266	14.0885	14.5159
December	14.3477	13.2120	13.7587