2013 DJF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

15.3024 UGX

YEARLY LOW

13.9812 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

14.5719 UGX

2013 DJF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the DJF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 8, valuing the pair at 15.3024. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 13.9812.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.3212 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 15.1199 to the December average rate of 14.1085, the exchange rate registered a net change of -6.69% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 15.3024 was up 0.79% compared to the 2012 peak of 15.1826, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 76,512 UGX

2012 Average 70,262 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 69,906 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 6,606.01 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

15.2210

14.0073

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 14.7816, compared to 14.3623 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 0.4193 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 14.7816

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 14.3623

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was April, with a trading range of 0.4899 UGX (High: 14.7296 / Low: 14.2397). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1469 UGX (High: 14.3060 / Low: 14.1591).

April Spread (Volatile) ±0.4899

November Spread (Stable) ±0.1469

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between March and April, when the average rate fell by 0.3198 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.3198

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2013: 15.1199) against the same month in 2012 (average: 13.5267), the exchange rate shifted by +1.5932 (+11.78%).

2013 Avg (January) 15.1199

2012 Avg (January) 13.5267

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	15.3024	14.9860	15.1199
February	15.1331	14.8782	14.9859
March	15.0146	14.6024	14.8588
April	14.7296	14.2397	14.5390
May	14.7074	14.4102	14.5735
June	14.6900	14.5417	14.6123
July	14.6641	14.5099	14.5708
August	14.6379	14.4324	14.5219
September	14.5998	14.3284	14.4604
October	14.4167	14.1625	14.2997
November	14.3060	14.1591	14.2124
December	14.2253	13.9812	14.1085