2014 DJF to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

15.5902 UGX

YEARLY LOW

13.7782 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

14.5522 UGX

2014 DJF to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the DJF to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 19, valuing the pair at 15.5902. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 18, dropping to 13.7782.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 1.8120 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 14.0479 to the December average rate of 15.5075, the exchange rate registered a net change of 10.39% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 15.5902 was up 1.88% compared to the 2013 peak of 15.3024, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 DJF based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 77,951 UGX

2013 Average 72,849 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 68,891 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 9,059.91 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

15.6719

13.6991

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

DJF to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 14.1414, compared to 14.9629 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.8216 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 14.1414

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 14.9629

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was November, with a trading range of 0.5027 UGX (High: 15.5744 / Low: 15.0717). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.1430 UGX (High: 15.5902 / Low: 15.4472).

November Spread (Volatile) ±0.5027

December Spread (Stable) ±0.1430

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between August and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 0.1844 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -0.1844

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2014: 15.5075) against the same month in 2013 (average: 14.1085), the exchange rate shifted by +1.3991 (+9.92%).

2014 Avg (December) 15.5075

2013 Avg (December) 14.1085

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	14.2509	13.8739	14.0479
February	14.2222	13.7782	13.8635
March	14.4511	14.1043	14.2268
April	14.4585	13.9898	14.1475
May	14.2997	14.0532	14.1491
June	14.6021	14.1995	14.4134
July	14.9554	14.5341	14.7210
August	14.6825	14.4794	14.5968
September	14.8916	14.5499	14.6628
October	15.2460	14.8067	14.9853
November	15.5744	15.0717	15.3042
December	15.5902	15.4472	15.5075