2011 MAD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

360.4293 UGX

YEARLY LOW

272.0065 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

312.0000 UGX

2011 MAD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2011

During 2011, the MAD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on August 29, valuing the pair at 360.4293. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 10, dropping to 272.0065.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 88.4228 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 278.6548 to the December average rate of 289.6649, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.95% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2011 high of 360.4293 was up 24.91% compared to the 2010 peak of 288.5423, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,802,146 UGX

2010 Average 1,294,418 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,360,032 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 442,113.85 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2011.

356.0468

271.6192

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 296.5284, compared to 327.4715 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 30.9431 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 296.5284

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 327.4715

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2011 was June, with a trading range of 36.6879 UGX (High: 340.5666 / Low: 303.8788). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 9.8514 UGX (High: 290.0089 / Low: 280.1575).

June Spread (Volatile) ±36.6879

February Spread (Stable) ±9.8514

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and August, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 7 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 30.1287 points.

Longest Streak 7 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -30.1287

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (August 2011: 349.0111) against the same month in 2010 (average: 258.8933), the exchange rate shifted by +90.1179 (+34.81%).

2011 Avg (August) 349.0111

2010 Avg (August) 258.8933

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	286.0218	272.0065	278.6548
February	290.0089	280.1575	285.4362
March	302.4511	291.2595	298.0004
April	310.5931	298.0034	302.5859
May	311.8401	296.3188	302.9934
June	340.5666	303.8788	311.4999
July	331.8140	320.8590	326.9688
August	360.4293	332.1897	349.0111
September	355.8100	337.4314	344.8828
October	353.0975	320.5121	342.2151
November	323.1648	301.5848	312.0864
December	307.1434	276.1501	289.6649