2026 MAD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

411.1502 UGX

YEARLY LOW

376.7551 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

398.3340 UGX

2026 MAD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2026

During 2026, the MAD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on May 29, valuing the pair at 411.1502. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 21, dropping to 376.7551.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 34.3951 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 389.3835 to the December average rate of 401.9652, the exchange rate registered a net change of 3.23% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2026 high of 411.1502 was up 2.65% compared to the 2025 peak of 400.5543, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,055,751 UGX

2025 Average 1,928,587 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,883,775 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 171,975.71 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2026.

411.5440

387.3690

JanuMarcMayJuly

MAD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 398.1336, compared to 398.9353 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 0.8017 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 398.1336

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 398.9353

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2026 was January, with a trading range of 20.2788 UGX (High: 397.0339 / Low: 376.7551). On the other end, August was the most stable month, with a tight range of 0.0000 UGX (High: 401.9652 / Low: 401.9652).

January Spread (Volatile) ±20.2788

August Spread (Stable) ±0.0000

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between May and June, when the average rate fell by 9.0581 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -9.0581

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (May 2026: 409.5294) against the same month in 2025 (average: 394.8852), the exchange rate shifted by +14.6442 (+3.71%).

2026 Avg (May) 409.5294

2025 Avg (May) 394.8852

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	397.0339	376.7551	389.3835
February	394.1315	387.0697	389.6721
March	404.5110	393.6619	399.4259
April	402.8254	395.6338	400.3194
May	411.1502	403.9799	409.5294
June	410.2429	390.5354	400.4713
July	402.5378	390.0655	395.9054
August	401.9652	401.9652	401.9652