YEARLY HIGH
363.2823 UGX
YEARLY LOW
337.3143 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
348.5865 UGX

2016 MAD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2016

During 2016, the MAD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 5, valuing the pair at 363.2823. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 2, dropping to 337.3143.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 25.9680 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 347.8107 to the December average rate of 356.0715, the exchange rate registered a net change of 2.38% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2016 high of 363.2823 was down 5.14% compared to the 2015 peak of 382.9593, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,816,411 UGX
2015 Average 1,660,644 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,686,571 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 129,839.99 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2016.

358.5118
343.2236
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 346.8984, compared to 350.2747 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 3.3762 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 346.8984
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 350.2747

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2016 was February, with a trading range of 17.5603 UGX (High: 357.4360 / Low: 339.8757). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.6376 UGX (High: 347.5117 / Low: 343.8740).

February Spread (Volatile) ±17.5603
May Spread (Stable) ±3.6376

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and November, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 4 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 6.1633 points.

Longest Streak 4 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -6.1633

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2016: 356.0715) against the same month in 2015 (average: 339.7030), the exchange rate shifted by +16.3685 (+4.82%).

2016 Avg (December) 356.0715
2015 Avg (December) 339.7030

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 352.6792 340.1853 347.8107
February 357.4360 339.8757 350.6610
March 349.9165 337.3143 344.4976
April 349.7889 341.0043 346.1030
May 347.5117 343.8740 345.7271
June 348.5451 344.7368 346.5913
July 348.1939 342.1435 344.6452
August 349.9126 343.8048 346.6371
September 349.3751 345.6806 347.8013
October 351.5657 347.5577 349.2550
November 360.5498 352.2209 357.2378
December 363.2823 349.2500 356.0715