2017 MAD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

389.1809 UGX

YEARLY LOW

352.5721 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

372.8551 UGX

2017 MAD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2017

During 2017, the MAD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on September 8, valuing the pair at 389.1809. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 22, dropping to 352.5721.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 36.6088 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 359.3332 to the December average rate of 385.0000, the exchange rate registered a net change of 7.14% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2017 high of 389.1809 was up 7.13% compared to the 2016 peak of 363.2823, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,945,904 UGX

2016 Average 1,742,830 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,762,860 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 183,044.00 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2017.

388.5590

353.6371

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 362.3951, compared to 383.3151 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 20.9199 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 362.3951

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 383.3151

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2017 was July, with a trading range of 12.9894 UGX (High: 383.9135 / Low: 370.9241). On the other end, November was the most stable month, with a tight range of 6.3207 UGX (High: 388.0115 / Low: 381.6908).

July Spread (Volatile) ±12.9894

November Spread (Stable) ±6.3207

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between January and February, when the average rate fell by 2.7860 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -2.7860

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (September 2017: 385.6488) against the same month in 2016 (average: 347.8013), the exchange rate shifted by +37.8475 (+10.88%).

2017 Avg (September) 385.6488

2016 Avg (September) 347.8013

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	362.2850	355.6839	359.3332
February	362.7724	352.5721	356.5472
March	364.1749	354.6625	359.5794
April	368.9816	358.4744	362.0656
May	372.7023	365.8964	368.5855
June	372.3700	364.8293	368.2598
July	383.9135	370.9241	376.4907
August	388.7918	378.8491	382.8454
September	389.1809	380.2351	385.6488
October	388.5322	381.0170	385.0909
November	388.0115	381.6908	384.8146
December	388.8161	380.6351	385.0000