YEARLY HIGH
383.1952 UGX
YEARLY LOW
353.7595 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
367.8746 UGX

2023 MAD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2023

During 2023, the MAD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 28, valuing the pair at 383.1952. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 19, dropping to 353.7595.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 29.4357 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 360.8109 to the December average rate of 376.6483, the exchange rate registered a net change of 4.39% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2023 high of 383.1952 was down 0.50% compared to the 2022 peak of 385.1065, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,915,976 UGX
2022 Average 1,818,458 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,768,798 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 147,178.26 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2023.

378.5203
356.0562
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 364.5857, compared to 371.1636 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 6.5779 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 364.5857
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 371.1636

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2023 was August, with a trading range of 17.4979 UGX (High: 381.7397 / Low: 364.2418). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.9385 UGX (High: 368.1598 / Low: 363.2214).

August Spread (Volatile) ±17.4979
September Spread (Stable) ±4.9385

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 6.3592 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -6.3592

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2023: 376.6483) against the same month in 2022 (average: 350.6092), the exchange rate shifted by +26.0390 (+7.43%).

2023 Avg (December) 376.6483
2022 Avg (December) 350.6092

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 363.7430 354.5807 360.8109
February 363.2712 353.7595 357.9282
March 370.8846 354.4037 361.8529
April 377.1491 366.8339 369.5323
May 373.7628 364.1373 368.7306
June 371.5447 365.9643 368.6592
July 380.8790 366.9426 375.9761
August 381.7397 364.2418 371.7775
September 368.1598 363.2214 365.4183
October 367.9796 361.0702 365.3066
November 379.2282 367.3245 371.8547
December 383.1952 372.0997 376.6483