YEARLY HIGH
420.0473 UGX
YEARLY LOW
381.2209 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
399.0879 UGX

2021 MAD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2021

During 2021, the MAD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 12, valuing the pair at 420.0473. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 18, dropping to 381.2209.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 38.8264 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 414.4891 to the December average rate of 384.1116, the exchange rate registered a net change of -7.33% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2021 high of 420.0473 was up 2.06% compared to the 2020 peak of 411.5522, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,100,237 UGX
2020 Average 1,959,135 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,906,105 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 194,132.24 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2021.

417.5269
381.0738
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 406.1075, compared to 392.0682 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 14.0393 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 406.1075
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 392.0682

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2021 was October, with a trading range of 11.5223 UGX (High: 401.9184 / Low: 390.3961). On the other end, September was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.9965 UGX (High: 395.2926 / Low: 391.2961).

October Spread (Volatile) ±11.5223
September Spread (Stable) ±3.9965

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

No sustained consecutive month-over-month growth streak of 2+ months occurred in 2021. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 7.0695 points.

Longest Streak 1 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -7.0695

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2021: 414.4891) against the same month in 2020 (average: 382.8690), the exchange rate shifted by +31.6201 (+8.26%).

2021 Avg (January) 414.4891
2020 Avg (January) 382.8690

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 420.0473 409.4571 414.4891
February 412.5193 406.6751 409.9796
March 409.7738 403.1977 406.5810
April 406.6809 399.5862 404.9650
May 404.4315 397.6558 401.2922
June 402.4378 396.6681 399.3380
July 399.9238 394.7344 397.1675
August 399.3900 391.9626 394.4312
September 395.2926 391.2961 393.6055
October 401.9184 390.3961 395.0816
November 391.7394 385.1376 388.0120
December 387.8430 381.2209 384.1116