2018 MAD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

411.2971 UGX

YEARLY LOW

384.3085 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

397.0037 UGX

2018 MAD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2018

During 2018, the MAD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 1, valuing the pair at 411.2971. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on December 15, dropping to 384.3085.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 26.9886 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 393.3892 to the December average rate of 389.3749, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.02% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2018 high of 411.2971 was up 5.68% compared to the 2017 peak of 389.1809, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,056,486 UGX

2017 Average 1,864,817 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,921,543 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 134,943.07 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2018.

405.7335

387.8877

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 398.0861, compared to 395.9213 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 2.1648 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 398.0861

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 395.9213

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2018 was July, with a trading range of 21.7433 UGX (High: 411.2971 / Low: 389.5538). On the other end, April was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.0470 UGX (High: 402.9568 / Low: 399.9097).

July Spread (Volatile) ±21.7433

April Spread (Stable) ±3.0470

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and April, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between June and July, when the average rate fell by 7.0259 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -7.0259

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2018: 397.1660) against the same month in 2017 (average: 376.4907), the exchange rate shifted by +20.6753 (+5.49%).

2018 Avg (July) 397.1660

2017 Avg (July) 376.4907

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	397.5535	388.8338	393.3892
February	398.7773	393.3081	395.9978
March	401.5203	395.0006	398.0172
April	402.9568	399.9097	401.2533
May	399.7651	393.1878	395.6674
June	410.6023	397.0201	404.1920
July	411.2971	389.5538	397.1660
August	401.8827	388.4479	393.3951
September	408.8844	398.9287	404.2463
October	405.2405	392.9573	398.4377
November	396.0005	390.6478	392.9081
December	394.1362	384.3085	389.3749