2014 MAD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

323.2403 UGX

YEARLY LOW

298.3077 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

308.7603 UGX

2014 MAD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2014

During 2014, the MAD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 12, valuing the pair at 323.2403. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 6, dropping to 298.3077.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 24.9326 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 303.7766 to the December average rate of 309.4506, the exchange rate registered a net change of 1.87% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2014 high of 323.2403 was down 0.45% compared to the 2013 peak of 324.6861, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,616,201 UGX

2013 Average 1,538,251 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,491,539 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 124,662.85 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2014.

319.6018

298.7789

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 307.9666, compared to 309.5539 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 1.5873 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 307.9666

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 309.5539

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2014 was February, with a trading range of 11.7830 UGX (High: 310.0908 / Low: 298.3077). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.8252 UGX (High: 311.3352 / Low: 307.5100).

February Spread (Volatile) ±11.7830

May Spread (Stable) ±3.8252

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between September and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 7.3030 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -7.3030

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2014: 317.8665) against the same month in 2013 (average: 304.2573), the exchange rate shifted by +13.6092 (+4.47%).

2014 Avg (July) 317.8665

2013 Avg (July) 304.2573

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	308.8546	298.6353	303.7766
February	310.0908	298.3077	300.5141
March	315.3354	307.9838	311.4242
April	313.3411	308.6370	310.5265
May	311.3352	307.5100	309.2427
June	316.8636	308.8762	312.3155
July	323.2403	313.4880	317.8665
August	314.0189	307.2924	311.2185
September	308.0427	302.3985	303.9155
October	311.0106	299.9442	306.0545
November	313.5983	302.6386	308.8177
December	315.1801	305.4761	309.4506