2019 MAD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

395.1266 UGX

YEARLY LOW

377.1484 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

385.2575 UGX

2019 MAD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2019

During 2019, the MAD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on January 9, valuing the pair at 395.1266. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on September 26, dropping to 377.1484.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 17.9782 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 388.5985 to the December average rate of 381.8923, the exchange rate registered a net change of -1.73% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2019 high of 395.1266 was down 3.93% compared to the 2018 peak of 411.2971, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,975,633 UGX

2018 Average 1,984,860 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,885,742 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 89,890.98 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2019.

390.3396

378.8390

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 387.4866, compared to 383.0283 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 4.4583 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 387.4866

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 383.0283

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2019 was January, with a trading range of 12.0657 UGX (High: 395.1266 / Low: 383.0608). On the other end, July was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.5370 UGX (High: 387.0797 / Low: 383.5427).

January Spread (Volatile) ±12.0657

July Spread (Stable) ±3.5370

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between February and May, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 3 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between August and September, when the average rate fell by 5.1897 points.

Longest Streak 3 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -5.1897

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (January 2019: 388.5985) against the same month in 2018 (average: 393.3892), the exchange rate shifted by -4.7907 (-1.22%).

2019 Avg (January) 388.5985

2018 Avg (January) 393.3892

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	395.1266	383.0608	388.5985
February	387.5305	383.5119	385.0330
March	387.6743	383.4051	385.4455
April	390.5839	383.6756	387.9217
May	391.7981	386.2629	389.3812
June	391.2763	385.5150	388.5397
July	387.0797	383.5427	385.4965
August	388.6192	381.5735	384.9872
September	384.0940	377.1484	379.7974
October	386.7444	377.8484	383.0187
November	385.9198	381.3723	382.9778
December	385.0305	379.9446	381.8923