2013 MAD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

324.6861 UGX

YEARLY LOW

296.7652 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

307.7044 UGX

2013 MAD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2013

During 2013, the MAD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on February 3, valuing the pair at 324.6861. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on April 15, dropping to 296.7652.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 27.9208 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 319.4447 to the December average rate of 306.2611, the exchange rate registered a net change of -4.13% (reflecting a weakening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2013 high of 324.6861 was up 2.01% compared to the 2012 peak of 318.2766, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,623,430 UGX

2012 Average 1,450,982 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,483,826 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 139,604.20 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2013.

321.2080

300.0482

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 309.2803, compared to 306.1285 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the first half (Jan–Jun) by a margin of 3.1518 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 309.2803

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 306.1285

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2013 was February, with a trading range of 12.4377 UGX (High: 324.6861 / Low: 312.2483). On the other end, January was the most stable month, with a tight range of 4.2049 UGX (High: 322.0288 / Low: 317.8239).

February Spread (Volatile) ±12.4377

January Spread (Stable) ±4.2049

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between April and June, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 2 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between February and March, when the average rate fell by 10.5185 points.

Longest Streak 2 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -10.5185

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (February 2013: 318.0728) against the same month in 2012 (average: 276.8868), the exchange rate shifted by +41.1860 (+14.87%).

2013 Avg (February) 318.0728

2012 Avg (February) 276.8868

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	322.0288	317.8239	319.4447
February	324.6861	312.2483	318.0728
March	311.9260	299.5678	307.5543
April	306.5740	296.7652	301.8115
May	306.9402	297.4687	302.0080
June	311.1478	302.8332	306.7903
July	308.6947	300.1961	304.2573
August	310.4712	304.8994	307.3482
September	309.4124	304.3240	306.9366
October	310.1539	305.7534	308.0333
November	306.3273	301.3064	303.9345
December	309.8301	304.5788	306.2611