2015 MAD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

382.9593 UGX

YEARLY LOW

287.7026 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

331.9386 UGX

2015 MAD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2015

During 2015, the MAD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on October 14, valuing the pair at 382.9593. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on March 15, dropping to 287.7026.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 95.2567 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 304.5162 to the December average rate of 339.7030, the exchange rate registered a net change of 11.55% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2015 high of 382.9593 was up 18.48% compared to the 2014 peak of 323.2403, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,914,797 UGX

2014 Average 1,544,133 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,438,513 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 476,283.50 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2015.

385.7076

289.6306

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 307.1273, compared to 356.7499 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 49.6227 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 307.1273

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 356.7499

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2015 was August, with a trading range of 31.1914 UGX (High: 380.7318 / Low: 349.5404). On the other end, February was the most stable month, with a tight range of 3.4806 UGX (High: 302.3723 / Low: 298.8917).

August Spread (Volatile) ±31.1914

February Spread (Stable) ±3.4806

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between March and September, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between October and November, when the average rate fell by 31.7981 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -31.7981

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (October 2015: 374.9700) against the same month in 2014 (average: 306.0545), the exchange rate shifted by +68.9155 (+22.52%).

2015 Avg (October) 374.9700

2014 Avg (October) 306.0545

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	311.0110	295.7253	304.5162
February	302.3723	298.8917	300.8887
March	303.2601	287.7026	297.6370
April	308.4883	295.6724	301.8129
May	312.6928	306.2040	309.0895
June	341.7959	311.0349	328.8194
July	361.1984	333.1513	341.4010
August	380.7318	349.5404	363.5525
September	380.2135	375.8308	377.7012
October	382.9593	358.5306	374.9700
November	361.6740	333.0198	343.1719
December	350.2090	331.8182	339.7030