2012 MAD to UGX Historical Review

YEARLY HIGH

318.2766 UGX

YEARLY LOW

271.2940 UGX

YEARLY AVERAGE

290.1551 UGX

2012 MAD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2012

During 2012, the MAD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on December 31, valuing the pair at 318.2766. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on February 16, dropping to 271.2940.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 46.9825 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 280.0091 to the December average rate of 314.7370, the exchange rate registered a net change of 12.40% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2012 high of 318.2766 was down 11.70% compared to the 2011 peak of 360.4293, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 1,591,383 UGX

2011 Average 1,560,776 UGX

Yearly Trough Low 1,356,470 UGX

Transaction Impact: A difference of 234,912.70 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2012.

318.5639

272.6409

JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 285.7355, compared to 294.5748 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 8.8393 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 285.7355

H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 294.5748

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2012 was February, with a trading range of 22.1055 UGX (High: 293.3996 / Low: 271.2940). On the other end, December was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.0417 UGX (High: 318.2766 / Low: 313.2349).

February Spread (Volatile) ±22.1055

December Spread (Stable) ±5.0417

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between July and December, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 5 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between April and May, when the average rate fell by 9.1581 points.

Longest Streak 5 Mo.

Sharpest MoM Drop -9.1581

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (December 2012: 314.7370) against the same month in 2011 (average: 289.6649), the exchange rate shifted by +25.0721 (+8.66%).

2012 Avg (December) 314.7370

2011 Avg (December) 289.6649

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month	High	Low	Average
January	289.2185	273.9157	280.0091
February	293.3996	271.2940	276.8868
March	303.5549	288.2517	293.7560
April	298.4360	291.1802	295.4300
May	297.5016	280.4099	286.2718
June	285.2464	278.6115	282.0591
July	282.3619	272.7070	276.4678
August	286.6180	276.8788	280.3801
September	297.0162	285.6197	291.6546
October	304.0573	297.1266	301.2952
November	314.3707	297.6859	302.9141
December	318.2766	313.2349	314.7370