YEARLY HIGH
400.5543 UGX
YEARLY LOW
363.4932 UGX
YEARLY AVERAGE
385.6217 UGX

2025 MAD to UGX Performance & Market Timing Review

Analysis of key historical highlights and timing insights for 2025

During 2025, the MAD to UGX exchange rate experienced significant fluctuation. The market reached its absolute peak on July 1, valuing the pair at 400.5543. Conversely, the yearly low was recorded on January 2, dropping to 363.4932.

This high-to-low spread represents a total annual volatility of 37.0611 UGX. From a start-to-finish perspective, comparing the January average rate of 367.2645 to the December average rate of 389.4135, the exchange rate registered a net change of 6.03% (reflecting a strengthening trend).

Looking at year-over-year peak valuations, the 2025 high of 400.5543 was up 1.87% compared to the 2024 peak of 393.2086, indicating shifts in long-term support levels.

Transfer Payout Power Comparison

Comparing the value generated converting 5,000 MAD based on timing:

Yearly Peak High 2,002,772 UGX
2024 Average 1,889,893 UGX
Yearly Trough Low 1,817,466 UGX
Transaction Impact: A difference of 185,305.52 UGX purely based on transaction execution date.

Trend Visualization

Monthly average fluctuations over the course of 2025.

400.7749
364.2181
JanuMarcMayJulySeptNove

MAD to UGX Seasonal Trends & Volatility Analysis

A structured review of seasonal halves, trading extremes, consecutive streaks, and historical baselines.

Seasonal Halves (H1 vs H2)

Seasonal

The average exchange rate in the first half of the year (H1: Jan–Jun) was 382.5555, compared to 388.6879 in the second half (H2: Jul–Dec). This shows that the rate was stronger in the second half (Jul–Dec) by a margin of 6.1324 points.

H1 Avg (Jan–Jun) 382.5555
H2 Avg (Jul–Dec) 388.6879

Volatility Range Comparison

Volatility

The most volatile month in 2025 was November, with a trading range of 21.4089 UGX (High: 394.9630 / Low: 373.5541). On the other end, May was the most stable month, with a tight range of 5.9612 UGX (High: 397.2090 / Low: 391.2478).

November Spread (Volatile) ±21.4089
May Spread (Stable) ±5.9612

Growth Streaks & Declines

Trends

Between January and July, the exchange rate recorded its longest consecutive growth streak of the year, climbing for 6 straight months. Conversely, the sharpest month-over-month decline occurred between September and October, when the average rate fell by 10.4753 points.

Longest Streak 6 Mo.
Sharpest MoM Drop -10.4753

Same-Month Historical Baseline

YoY Baseline

Comparing the current year's strongest month average (July 2025: 397.7285) against the same month in 2024 (average: 375.7729), the exchange rate shifted by +21.9556 (+5.84%).

2025 Avg (July) 397.7285
2024 Avg (July) 375.7729

Monthly Breakdown

Statistical summary for each calendar month.

Month High Low Average
January 369.9404 363.4932 367.2645
February 371.2074 364.3790 368.0817
March 382.9746 368.0791 377.8564
April 397.3489 379.0706 391.9734
May 397.2090 391.2478 394.8852
June 398.9465 392.4428 395.2717
July 400.5543 392.7490 397.7285
August 397.9320 390.8521 394.3453
September 394.4521 383.7846 388.1581
October 382.2304 374.0897 377.6828
November 394.9630 373.5541 384.7992
December 397.4334 382.8573 389.4135